There’s nothing greater than identifying a mismatch where the oddsmakers have made an error and you reap the rewards of an underdog win. But that is a lot easier to say than it’s to perform and sometimes it burns you another way when those apparent cut-and-dry favorites price you money when the underdog pulls off that upset.
Among the most shocking flashes of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous decision to Henry Cejudo (+350) in UFC 227. This doesn’t mean you should be swinging for the fences on every card with a lot of underdog bets, but just know that there could be money to be made on a well-placed bet.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog victories were on the decline lately, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage fell to 32. However, was a bit of a comeback in 2018 that trend has continued into 2019 and as underdogs finished at a 36 percent.
Through 19 events this year, underdogs are hitting at a rate of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw dogs acquire five of the 11 fights, earning bettors $205.91 predicated on a $100 bet on every fight. The biggest upset of the evening was on the undercard with Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this season, the largest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
Odds Shark will update the documents for underdogs versus favorites broken down each card following each function. Additionally, we will break down the gains based on $100 on each underdog versus $100 on every and every favorite.
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